Kamal Thapa, president of the Rastriya Prajatantra Party (Nepal), will lead his party to the second Constituent Assembly elections on 19 November 2013 on two main axes: restoration of monarchy and Hindu state. The first CA had abolished them in 2008. In the elections for the first CA, other parties had prevented his pro-Palace and pro-Hindu party from organizing mass meetings. Thanks to the mismanagement and corruption of the ruling parties, Thapa, who has been a minister several times under the Panchayat system and multi-party democracy, is now getting attention and popularity. His party's mass meetings attracted crowds like never before. Bharat Jangam, a lawyer and RPP candidate from one of the toughest constituencies, Kathmandu 1, recently told me: “I may not win this election, but the reception from voters is quite encouraging.” Among Mr. Thapa's main planks, restoration of the Hindu state is resonating with voters. 88% of Nepal's population is Hindu. Even moderate secularists such as Bhagirath Basnet, a former foreign minister, believe a referendum should have been held before declaring the country secular. Restoring the monarchy is not that popular. People see the deposed king Gyanendra and his son Paras as the face of the monarchy and they don't like that. King Gyanendra imposed direct rule in 2005, sparking a popular backlash, and his son has been linked to criminal activity, including the murder of a singer. But who knows, Britain has restored its abolished monarchy after a decade. Although an unscientific web-based opinion poll showed Thapa's party leading in the seat count of the second Constituent Assembly, other similar polls say otherwise. One poll puts the Nepali Congress ahead, with... middle of paper... multi-party style democracy and independent courts. Two main critical points – the nature of federalism and the form of government – had prevented the first Assembly from writing a new statute. Ethnic parties and the UCPN (Maoist) supported ethnic states, while other parties favored multi-ethnic and viable states. Similarly, the UCPN (Maoist) wanted the presidential system, the parliamentary system of the Nepali Congress and the CPN (UML) to be mixed. Their current posters also reflect these differences. If they maintain their positions, even the second Assembly will fail to complete the new constitution. This will likely provide new opportunities for Thapa to gain further ground in the upcoming elections. Alternatively, the far left and far right could decide to work together, as in Cambodia. In any case, the main losers will be the people at the center who love liberal democracy and freedom.
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